Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1.890574 1.976398 2.067187 2.170967 2.287065 2.413859 2.564105
2025-11-02 1.771250 1.878737 1.996335 2.135994 2.299361 2.487154 2.723681
2025-11-09 1.697176 1.818995 1.955579 2.122530 2.324795 2.567323 2.889529
2025-11-16 1.640112 1.772290 1.923415 2.112555 2.348610 2.642375 3.052457
2025-11-23 1.591188 1.730909 1.893242 2.100483 2.365845 2.707246 3.206478
2025-11-30 1.560477 1.708538 1.883295 2.110880 2.410082 2.808882 3.423102
2025-12-07 1.504237 1.652563 1.829096 2.061461 2.371383 2.792766 3.461769
2025-12-14 1.470769 1.622626 1.805253 2.048901 2.379957 2.841992 3.606478
2025-12-21 1.436721 1.590471 1.776944 2.028499 2.375638 2.871076 3.721500
2025-12-28 1.424126 1.584140 1.780553 2.049791 2.429888 2.990985 4.011642
2026-01-04 1.417080 1.584193 1.791913 2.081528 2.500638 3.143267 4.396228
2026-01-11 1.394151 1.563228 1.774984 2.073308 2.511724 3.200531 4.608274
2026-01-18 1.375186 1.547434 1.765111 2.075631 2.540660 3.293982 4.932585
2026-01-25 1.345131 1.516418 1.733907 2.046218 2.518692 3.297054 5.052010
2026-02-01 1.324045 1.496355 1.716539 2.035569 2.524964 3.350379 5.311453
2026-02-08 1.305211 1.478639 1.701630 2.027601 2.534637 3.410596 5.612433
2026-02-15 1.286603 1.460679 1.685745 2.017367 2.539735 3.462520 5.913616
2026-02-22 1.276361 1.453337 1.683910 2.027439 2.578330 3.583618 6.493683
2026-03-01 1.247273 1.420434 1.646126 1.982578 2.522632 3.509862 6.381479
2026-03-08 1.231106 1.404349 1.631123 1.971327 2.523068 3.551239 6.710318
2026-03-15 1.213123 1.385467 1.611759 1.952777 2.509980 3.563078 6.938009
2026-03-22 1.208885 1.384782 1.617561 1.972471 2.563778 3.724346 7.926943
2026-03-29 1.207904 1.388368 1.629335 2.001690 2.636413 3.941000 9.553881